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Socrates Dispute DAO StagingSocrates Dispute DAO Stagingby0x265CD5Fc76c30496Fd22f7161AfCdCb5aaE9927A0x265C…927A

Disputed: US strikes Iran by February 28? - Round 1

Voting ended 18 days agoFailed

Proposer 0x66ad62472d4d4616be9d1e595c16ec65b3e9598a

Disputer 0x4b2b5969f914999d150502f61d064c194200e2d5

Rules This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between the time of this market's creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. ["https://www.whitehouse.gov/","https://www.irna.ir/"]

Proposed Outcome YES

Voting Instructions Vote For to support the Challenger and change the outcome. Vote Against to support the Original Result and keep it as is.

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Timeline

Mar 01, 2026Proposal created
Mar 01, 2026Proposal vote started
Mar 04, 2026Proposal vote ended
Mar 04, 2026Proposal updated